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    Probability

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    Probability : Insurance Policy

    Someone purchases a liability insurance policy, and the probability that they will make a claim on that policy is equal to 0.1. The insurance payout is the amount of money the insurance company must pay if the holder of the policy files a claim. So, if no claim is made, then the insurance payout is just $0; however, whenever a c

    Shortage probability

    Hello, I need a detailed solution of problem 13.6 in the attached file A replenishment order is placed to raise the stock level of a given product....What is the probability of a shortage occurring during the replenishment lead time and what is the expected value of the total shortage.

    Probability and Decision Trees

    1. A mail order company tracks the number of returns it receives each day. Information for the last 50 days shows Number of returns Number of days 0 - 99 6 100 - 199 20 200 - 299 15 300 or more 9 a. How many sample points are there? b. List and

    Queueing Problem

    Service station cars arive randomly at a rate of 1 car every 30 min. the average time to change oil on a car is 20 min. both the time between arrivals and service time can be modeled using the negative exponential Poisson distribution. This shop only has one garage and one oil change person on duty at any given time. a) On

    Probability Evidence of a Serious Illness

    A doctor finds evidence of a serious illness in a particular patient and must make a determination about whether or not to advise the patient to undergo a dangerous operation. If the patient does suffer from the illness in question, there is a 95% probability that he will die if he does not undergo the operation. If he does unde

    Probability

    50. U.S. Population The population of the United States by race in 2000 and the projected population by race for the year 2025 are given below (in thousands).* Race 2000 2025 White 196,700 209,900 Hispanic 32,500 56,900 Afr

    Mean, Median, Mode, Probability, Parallelograms

    1. The weights in pounds of six elementary students are: 80,92,71,63,76, and 83. Find the following: (a) mean ____________ (b) median ____________ (c) mode __________ (d) range ___________ (e) standard deviation (to the nearest tenth of a pound) _______________ 2. A bag contains fiv

    Probability Distribution, Mean, Variance and Weekly Profit

    Natway, a national distribution company of home vacuum cleaners, recommends that its salespersons make only two calls per day, one in the morning and one in the afternoon. Twenty percent of the time a sales call will result in a sale. Write out the probability distribution for # of sales during a five-day week. What is the mean

    Poisson distribution

    When are the Poisson and negative exponential distributions used and What are the advantages and limitations of simulation models?

    Probability calculations for standard deviation

    1. A class has 10 business majors and 15 econ majors. If Five students are chosen at random, what is the probability that three are business major and two are econ majors? 2. The average time it take to travel from here to three is 30 minutes. The standard deviation is 5 minutes. About 68% of trips take within what range of t

    Probability: central tendency measures

    You pay $6 to play a game where you will roll a die, with a payoff as follows: $8 for a 6, $7 for a 5, and $4 for any other result. What are your expected winnings? Is the game fair? Find the mean for: 105, 108, 110, 115, 106, 110, 104, 113, 117. Find the median and mode (or modes) for: 32, 35, 36, 44, 46, 46, 59.

    Problem Using the Monte Carlo Simulation

    Please help with the attached problem. Also, included are all the notes regarding this method. This is all that I have to go on. I cannot figure out how to solve this problem since the instructor skipped a lot of steps when solving the example problem. If this problem will be done by hand, then we need to do 20 simulations ju

    Expected Value of Perfect Information..

    A consulting firm has an option to bid on a contract that will yield $500,000 profit if it is awarded the contract. However, if the firm decides to bid on the contract and it is not awarded to the firm, it will incur a net loss of $125,000 due to the personnel cost involved in developing the contract proposal and profits lost fr

    Practical uses of probability theory

    What are some practical uses of probability theory ? Can you think of two examples in your work day or personal experiences ? There are two bags each containing red balls and blue balls. Bag A contains 1 red and 4 blue balls. Bag B contains 3 red and 13 blue balls. Lucky Louie says you should always choose Bag B i

    Calculation of probability of an event.

    Sixty percent of the employees in adepartment are women. One third of the women drive foreign cars. The rest drive domestic cars. Twenty five percent of the men in the department drive foreign cars. One person is randomly selected from the departmental files. Use this information to construct a probability table and (1) cal

    Rolling die simulation

    Use a worksheet to simulate the rolling of dice. Use the VLOOKUP function to select the outcome for each die. Place the number for the first die in column B and the number for the second die in column C. Show the sum in column D. Repeat the simulation for 1000 rolls of the dice. What is your simulation estimate of the probabilit

    Probability

    13.) The probability of a newborn baby being a girl is 0.49. If four babies are born in a hospital on one day, what is the probability that all four are girls?

    Probability

    12.) The following table shows the weather conditions each day for the last 100 days: Snowy Days Snowy Days Rainy Days Cloudy Days Sunny Days 5 20 40 35 Based on this data: a.) What is the probability that tomorrow will be snowy? b.) What is the probability that tomorrow will be rainy or cloudy? c.) What is the probab