12.) The following table shows the weather conditions each day for the last 100 days:
Snowy Days Rainy Days Cloudy Days Sunny Days
5 20 40 35
Based on this data:
a.) What is the probability that tomorrow will be snowy?
b.) What is the probability that tomorrow will be rainy or cloudy?
c.) What is the probability that tomorrow will be rainy and the day after tomorrow will be sunny?© BrainMass Inc. brainmass.com October 16, 2018, 10:14 pm ad1c9bdddf
(a) The probability that tomorrow will be snowy is 5/100 = 0.05
This provides several examples of working with probability problems.
A young engineer has invented holographic mobile phones and has approached a venture capital company to invest in it. The venture capital company considers the product to be an all or nothing product: either everyone will want one because everyone else has one or no one will want one because there will be no one to use it with. The company believes that the probability that it will take off netting them a profit of $2000000 is 0.14. If it doesn't take off then they expect that they would loose $200000. They are considering using a consumer survey to gather more information. However, the company has experience that shows that the probability that the consumer survey will predict success for a product that will fail is 0.24, and the probability that the consumer survey will predict failure when the product will be a success is 0.07. What is the monetary value of the information from a consumer survey to the venture capital company in this case? (ie what is the maximum that they should spend on a consumer survey)?View Full Posting Details