# Probability

A bag contains 8 black balls and 6 white balls. Two balls are drawn out at random, one after the other without replacement. calculate the probabilities that

(a) The second ball is black

(b) The first ball was white, given that the second ball is black.

https://brainmass.com/math/probability/probability-192251

#### Solution Preview

Total number of balls in the bag = 8 + 6 = 14

(a) P(second ball is black) = P(first ...

#### Solution Summary

Step-by-step solution is provided.

The probability

A young engineer has invented holographic mobile phones and has approached a venture capital company to invest in it. The venture capital company considers the product to be an all or nothing product: either everyone will want one because everyone else has one or no one will want one because there will be no one to use it with. The company believes that the probability that it will take off netting them a profit of $2000000 is 0.14. If it doesn't take off then they expect that they would loose $200000. They are considering using a consumer survey to gather more information. However, the company has experience that shows that the probability that the consumer survey will predict success for a product that will fail is 0.24, and the probability that the consumer survey will predict failure when the product will be a success is 0.07. What is the monetary value of the information from a consumer survey to the venture capital company in this case? (ie what is the maximum that they should spend on a consumer survey)?

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