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Compare the present cause of emergence with the past causes; Evaluate the differences between the two and look for obvious patterns.
I found one webpage but it wasn't very helpful. It just talked about reforestation being a cause of emergence. The link was http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2626828/pdf/8903148.pdf
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Here are some papers that might help you:
* The emergence of Lyme disease
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC385417/
* The emergence of Lyme disease and human babesiosis in a changing environment
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/7840446
* The Biological and Social Phenomenon of Lyme Disease ...
Solution Summary
The expert compares the present cause of emergence with the past causes. The differences between the two and look for obvious patterns are evaluated.