# Probability

The ratings for "driving distance off the tee" for the top 10 golfers on the PGA Tour are as follows:

RANK PREV RANK PLAYER VALUE (YDS)

1 1 Scott Hend 318.90

2 2 Tiger Woods 315.20

3 3 Brett Wetterich 310.70

4 4 John Daly 308.50

5 6 Scott Gutschewski 308.40

6 5 Hank Kuehne 308.30

7 10 Davis Love III 304.30

How would you compute the probability, for any given drive on any given hole in any given tournament of the following probabilities for Tiger Woods, currently rated the Number One player in the world:

Note: Let D = the event "a given drive"

I am NOT looking for specific probability numbers - I want to know how

you would compute them and what additional data you might need to

make the computation using the methodology you suggest.

a) P(D = 310 yards) = ? How would you determine this probability? What assumptions did you make?

b) P(300 < D < 320) = ? How would you determine this probability? What

assumptions did you make?

c) P(300 < D < 320) = ? How would you determine this probability? What assumptions did you make?

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