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    Probability

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    A mayoral election race is tightly contested. In a random sample of 1,100 likely voters, 572 said they were planning to vote for the current mayor. Based on this sample, what is your initial hunch? If you calculated the 95% confidence interval around the mayorâ??s current proportion of votes, would you claim with 95% confidence that the mayor will win a majority of the votes if the election were held today? Explain

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    572/1100 = 0.52. It appears that the election is tightly contested.

    p = 0.52, q = 1 - p = ...

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