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Observed and expected frequencies

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? A sample of n independent observations are obtained of a random variable having a Poisson distribution with mean . Show that the maximum likelihood estimate of is he sample mean show that the corresponding estimator is an unbiased estimator of , and has variance .

The scientists Rutherford and Geiger reported an experiment in which they counted the number of alpha particles emitted from a radioactive source during intervals of 7.5 seconds duration, for 2612 different intervals. A total of 10126 particles were counted. The data obtained are summarised in the below.

Number 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 >12 Total
Frequency 57 203 383 525 532 408 273 139 49 27 10 4 2 0 2612

It has been suggested that the number of particles emitted in a n interval may be adequately modelled by a Poisson distribution. Assuming this conjecture to be correct, find the maximum likelihood estimate of the mean of this distribution, and use this to estimate the expected frequencies corresponding to the observed frequencies given in the table. Comment informally on the extent of agreement between these observed and expected frequencies.

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Solution Summary

This shows how to find the maximum likelihood estimate of the mean of a Poisson distribution, and estimate the expected frequencies corresponding to observed frequencies.

Solution provided by:
  • BSc , Wuhan Univ. China
  • MA, Shandong Univ.
Recent Feedback
  • "Your solution, looks excellent. I recognize things from previous chapters. I have seen the standard deviation formula you used to get 5.154. I do understand the Central Limit Theorem needs the sample size (n) to be greater than 30, we have 100. I do understand the sample mean(s) of the population will follow a normal distribution, and that CLT states the sample mean of population is the population (mean), we have 143.74. But when and WHY do we use the standard deviation formula where you got 5.154. WHEN & Why use standard deviation of the sample mean. I don't understand, why don't we simply use the "100" I understand that standard deviation is the square root of variance. I do understand that the variance is the square of the differences of each sample data value minus the mean. But somehow, why not use 100, why use standard deviation of sample mean? Please help explain."
  • "excellent work"
  • "Thank you so much for all of your help!!! I will be posting another assignment. Please let me know (once posted), if the credits I'm offering is enough or you ! Thanks again!"
  • "Thank you"
  • "Thank you very much for your valuable time and assistance!"
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