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Basic Probability : Averages

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1. Suppose that the monthly worldwide average of airplane crashes of commercial planes is 2.0.
(a) What is the probability of exactly 6 crashes in the first 3 months?
(b) What is the probability of having exactly 2 crashes in each of the first two months?
(c) What is the probability of having exactly 2 crashes in the each of the first two months, given that there are exactly 6 crashes in the first 3 months?

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Probability problems are solved. The solution is detailed and well presented. The response received a rating of "5" from the student who originally posted the question.

Solution provided by:
Changping Wang, MA
Education
  • BSc , Wuhan Univ. China
  • MA, Shandong Univ.
Recent Feedback
  • "Your solution, looks excellent. I recognize things from previous chapters. I have seen the standard deviation formula you used to get 5.154. I do understand the Central Limit Theorem needs the sample size (n) to be greater than 30, we have 100. I do understand the sample mean(s) of the population will follow a normal distribution, and that CLT states the sample mean of population is the population (mean), we have 143.74. But when and WHY do we use the standard deviation formula where you got 5.154. WHEN & Why use standard deviation of the sample mean. I don't understand, why don't we simply use the "100" I understand that standard deviation is the square root of variance. I do understand that the variance is the square of the differences of each sample data value minus the mean. But somehow, why not use 100, why use standard deviation of sample mean? Please help explain."
  • "excellent work"
  • "Thank you so much for all of your help!!! I will be posting another assignment. Please let me know (once posted), if the credits I'm offering is enough or you ! Thanks again!"
  • "Thank you"
  • "Thank you very much for your valuable time and assistance!"
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