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Formation of Hunches

Hunches

Develop a number of hunches about the clients in the following vignettes. What is the basis of your hunch (theory, experience, knowledge about social conditions,
etc.)?

Leah is a 13-year-old runaway living on the streets with a group of three other teens.
They show up at the food kitchen occasionally, where a counselor has talked with Leah
about the possibility of coming back into school and maybe into foster care. Leah actually
seems interested in school. She tells the counselor: "I might like to finish school. I was
good at it, but there's no way I'm living in another family. I've been on my own too long
and I don't want to take orders from anybody. Besides, my friends need me. We do okay."

Arturo is a 34-year-old musician making his living playing in a small quartet that performs
at functions like weddings and bar mitzvahs. He is seeing an employment counselor
about career training: "I don't know, I guess I should get a real job. I'm 34 and it
doesn't look like I'll make it as a classical musician. My wife says it's time for me to quit
fooling around. I love what I do, but there's no future in it."

Huston, age 49, has just been released from jail, where he served 11 years for child sexual
assault. He's meeting with his probation officer: "Man, I'm uptight about living outside.
It's kind of scary after all these years. I have no family left; my only friends are the
guys I met in the slammer."

Kimsoo, age 44, came to the United States to undertake religious studies toward becoming
the first woman minister in her village back home. After being here for 4 years, she
is experiencing a number of conflicts about returning to Korea: "I feel really torn. I always
thought I wanted to be a minister, and my family and church are counting on me.
But things here are so different from back home. Plus, I didn't expect to get involved with
an American the way I have."

Solution Preview

Dear Student,
Your solution tackles possible hunches that can be deduced when confronted with certain situations.Provided are samples of what one can deduce from the situations your post presented. Attached is the word version, good luck!

OTA 105878
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Hunches: Vignettes

Situation:
Leah is a 13-year-old runaway living on the streets with a group of three other teens.
They show up at the food kitchen occasionally, where a counsellor has talked with Leah
about the possibility of coming back into school and maybe into foster care. Leah actually
seems interested in school. She tells the counsellor: "I might like to finish school. I was
good at it, but there's no way I'm living in another family. I've been on my own too long
and I don't want to take orders from anybody. Besides, my friends need me. We do okay."

Hunches:
We can take what Leah is saying as is - that she's okay and this is the life she prefers. My theory however that Leah is is justifying her present status - she is needed by 'her friends' where she is therefore it is 'important' for her to stay in the streets. I believe that part of the reason Leah ran away, whatever the details of the circumstances were is to feel like she belongs, that she is a part of something; hence she values her friends and hides behind them to justify & at the same time strengthen her resolve. A hunch tells me that she came from a broken family, either she was abused or cannot stand the pain & difficulty of being a part of her former home. It must be a terrible situation indeed for a 13-year old to seek comfort in the streets, the social situation of children living in the streets testify to the risks that they face, they can easily be ...

Solution Summary

The solution provides a sample exercise in developing valid hunches based on data/information presented in the orginal prot (see problem). It is intended to be used as a sample by students studying criminology/sociology in creating/understanding valid hunches when confronted with a problem/mystery/puzzling situation. Each situation is analysed and provided with a valid sample 'hunch'. The solution is also attached as a word file for easy printing. Prior to the analysis of each case, a discussion of hunch formation is provided.

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