Forecasting, Trends and Mean Square Error
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Month 1993
January 1.45
February 1.80
March 2.03
April 1.99
May 2.32
June 2.20
July 2.13
August 2.43
September 1.90
October 2.13
November 2.56
December 4.16
Using the chart above I need to:
a. Forecast the month of December using a moving average of 3.
b. Calculate the Mean-Square Error (MSE).
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Forecasting, Trends and Mean Square Error are investigated. The solution is detailed and well presented. The response received a rating of "5/5" from the student who originally posted the question.
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Hello!
When forecasting using a moving average of 3, we use the following formula:
Forecast (t) = (1/3)*(Value (t-1) + Value (t-2) + Value ...
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