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Time Series Forecasting

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a) Display this time series as a line graph (please use excel).

b) Find the 4-period MA (moving average) forecast for January 1997.

c) Find the MSE (mean square error) for the 4-period MA (mean average) model.

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Solution Summary

This solution looks at the moving average and mean square error of a time series.

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A.
See Excel sheet for graphs.

B.
The 4-period moving average for 1997 - Quarter I = (1,496,798 + ...

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