Purchase Solution

# Normal Probability Problems

Not what you're looking for?

I need assistance with problems: 6.51, 6.52 and 6.53 in the attached document.

6.51 All the major stock market indexes posted heavy losses in 2008. The mean one year return for stocks in the S&P 500, a group of 500 very large companies, was -38.5%. The mean one-year return for the NASDAQ, a group of 3200 small and medium-sized companies, was -40.5%. Historically, the one-year returns are approximately normal, the standard deviation in the S&P 500 is approximately 20%, and standard deviation in the NASDAQ is approximately 30%.

a. What is the probability that a stock in the S&P 500 gained value in 2008?

b. What is the probability that a stock in the S&P 500 gained 10% or more?

c. What is the probability that a stock in the S&P 500 lost 50% or more in 2008?

d. What is the probability that a stock in the S&P 500 lost 60% or more?

e. Repeat (a) through (d) for a stock in the NASDAQ.

f. Write a short summary on your findings. Be sure to include a discussion of the risks with a large standard deviation.

6.52 An article reported that (L. J. Flynn, "Tax Surfing," The New York Times, March 25, 2002, p. C10) that the mean time to download the home page for the Internal Revenue Service, www.irs.gov, is 0.8 seconds. Suppose that the download time is normally distributed, with a standard deviation of 0.2 seconds. What is the probability that a download time is

a. less than 1 second?

b. between 0.5 and 1.5 seconds?

c. above 0.5 second?

e) 95% of the download times are between what two values, symmetrically distributed around the mean?

6.53 The same article mentioned in Problem 6.52 also reported that the mean download time for H&R Block Web site, www.hrblock.com, is 2.5 seconds. Suppose that the download time is normally distributed, with a standard deviation of 0.5 second. What is the probability that a download time is

a. less than 1 second?

b. between 0.5 and 1.5 seconds?

c. above 0.5 second?

e. Compare the results for the IRS site computed in Problem 6.52 to those of the H&R Block site.

##### Solution Summary

The solution provides step by step method for the calculation of probability using the Z score. Formula for the calculation and Interpretations of the results are also included. Interactive excel sheet is included. The user can edit the inputs and obtain the complete results for a new set of data.

##### Free BrainMass Quizzes

Each question is a choice-summary multiple choice question that presents you with a statistical concept and then 4 numbered statements. You must decide which (if any) of the numbered statements is/are true as they relate to the statistical concept.

##### Measures of Central Tendency

Tests knowledge of the three main measures of central tendency, including some simple calculation questions.

##### Measures of Central Tendency

This quiz evaluates the students understanding of the measures of central tendency seen in statistics. This quiz is specifically designed to incorporate the measures of central tendency as they relate to psychological research.

##### Terms and Definitions for Statistics

This quiz covers basic terms and definitions of statistics.