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Expected Profits

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Suppose that next year the U.S. will be in one of the following economic conditions: Boom, Moderate Growth, Recession, or Depression. The probability that each economic condition will occur, and that a jewelry store will earn profits within that broader economic condition are listed below:

Economic Condition Probability Jewelry Store Profits
Boom 0.40 $400,000
Moderate Growth 0.30 $300,000
Recession 0.20 $100,000
Depression 0.10 -$500,000

The expected profit of the jewelry store during the next year is
a) $250,000
b) $220,000
c) $190,000
d) $170,000
e) None of the above

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The expert examines the expected profits for broader economic conditions.

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Take the expected profits in each economic condition and ...

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  • BSc , Wuhan Univ. China
  • MA, Shandong Univ.
Recent Feedback
  • "Your solution, looks excellent. I recognize things from previous chapters. I have seen the standard deviation formula you used to get 5.154. I do understand the Central Limit Theorem needs the sample size (n) to be greater than 30, we have 100. I do understand the sample mean(s) of the population will follow a normal distribution, and that CLT states the sample mean of population is the population (mean), we have 143.74. But when and WHY do we use the standard deviation formula where you got 5.154. WHEN & Why use standard deviation of the sample mean. I don't understand, why don't we simply use the "100" I understand that standard deviation is the square root of variance. I do understand that the variance is the square of the differences of each sample data value minus the mean. But somehow, why not use 100, why use standard deviation of sample mean? Please help explain."
  • "excellent work"
  • "Thank you so much for all of your help!!! I will be posting another assignment. Please let me know (once posted), if the credits I'm offering is enough or you ! Thanks again!"
  • "Thank you"
  • "Thank you very much for your valuable time and assistance!"
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