# Calculating the desired probability value

The following information has been gathered for a project:

TIME ESTIMATES (DAYS)

Activity Immediate Predecessor(s) Most Optimistic Most Likely Most Pessimistic

A ---- 6 9 12

B ---- 4 8 12

C A 5 6 7

D A 3 5 7

E B,D 4 7 10

What is the probability of completing the project given in Question 9 in 23 days, using the critical path?

Select one:

a. Greater than 85% but less than or equal to 95%

b. Less than or equal to 75%

c. Greater than 75% but less than or equal to 85%

d. Greater than 95%

https://brainmass.com/business/organizational-theory/calculating-desired-probability-value-573653

#### Solution Summary

This solution depicts the steps to estimate the probability value in the given case.