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One function of the foreign exchange market is to convert the currency of one country into the currency of another. A second function of the foreign exchange market is to provide insurance against foreign exchange risk. The most common approach to exchange rate forecasting is fundamental analysis. This relies on variables such as money supply growth, inflation rates, nominal interest rates, and balance-of-payment positions to predict future changes in exchange rates. Identify a country outside of the U.S. and its currency and initial exchange rate. Answer the following questions:
a. How stable is the currency against the U.S. dollar?
b. Why is this so?
c. How many other countries trade with your chosen host country?
d. Are there risks involved in doing business with this country?
e. What are the projections for this country's expansion over the next 10 years?

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How stable is the currency against the U.S. dollar?

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I will choose India for this assignment. The currency of the country is Rupee.

The currency has not been stable during the last few years against US dollars and has shown steep strengthening and weakening in the last couple of years itself. The exchange rate has recently moved over 25% as dollar strengthened against the Rupee.

The reason for this movement is the huge ...

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Sheetal Jain, PGDM
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  • Post Graduate Diploma in Management (Equivalent to MBA), All India Management Association
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