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Problem #7.6
Following are time-series data for nine time periods. Use exponential smoothing with constraints of .3 and .7 to forecast time periods 3 through 9. Let the value for time period 1 be the forecast for time period 2. Compute additional forecasts for time periods 4 through 9 using a 3-month average. Compute the errors for the forecasts and discuss the size of the errors under each method.
Time Period Value Time Period Value
1 9.4 6 11.0
2 8.2 7 10.3
3 7.9 8 9.5
4 9.0 9 9.1
5 9.8

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The solution provides step by step method for exponential smoothing. Formula for the calculation and Interpretations of the results are also included.

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Problem #7.6
Following are time-series data for nine time periods. Use exponential smoothing with constraints of .3 and .7 to forecast time periods 3 through 9. Let the value for time period 1 be the forecast for time period 2. Compute additional forecasts for time periods 4 through 9 using a 3-month average. Compute the errors for the forecasts and discuss the size of the errors under each method.
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