# Conditional Probability

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Trying to come up with the conditional probability for a problem that deals with court cases and number of appeals and reversals for a particular judge.

Judge smith

Total Cases 3037

Appealed Cases 137

Reversed Cases 12

Prob(Appeal) .0451

Prob(Reverse) .0040

What I want to find out is the probability of a reversal, given an appeal.

The 12 reversed cases are part of the 137 appealed cases but I'm not sure how I need to write and set up the problem to solve.

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##### Solution Summary

This solution calculates the probability.

###### Education

- BSc , Wuhan Univ. China
- MA, Shandong Univ.

###### Recent Feedback

- "Your solution, looks excellent. I recognize things from previous chapters. I have seen the standard deviation formula you used to get 5.154. I do understand the Central Limit Theorem needs the sample size (n) to be greater than 30, we have 100. I do understand the sample mean(s) of the population will follow a normal distribution, and that CLT states the sample mean of population is the population (mean), we have 143.74. But when and WHY do we use the standard deviation formula where you got 5.154. WHEN & Why use standard deviation of the sample mean. I don't understand, why don't we simply use the "100" I understand that standard deviation is the square root of variance. I do understand that the variance is the square of the differences of each sample data value minus the mean. But somehow, why not use 100, why use standard deviation of sample mean? Please help explain."
- "excellent work"
- "Thank you so much for all of your help!!! I will be posting another assignment. Please let me know (once posted), if the credits I'm offering is enough or you ! Thanks again!"
- "Thank you"
- "Thank you very much for your valuable time and assistance!"

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