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Testing for ESP

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I went over to our Provost last week to try to convince him that I have the ability of Extrasensory Perception (ESP).

I gave him a deck of 10 cards, numbered 1 to 10, and asked him to shuffle them. Then, he would have to look at each card, and concentrate on the number, one at a time.

I let him know that I could read his mind by giving him the order of the cards he read.

Do you believe me that I got the order 100% correct? Yes, he told me so.

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This solution describes a simple way to test a claim. A discussion following the simple test compares it with the general methods we use for statistical hypothesis testing.

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I went over to our Provost last week to try to convince him that I have the ability of Extrasensory Perception (ESP).  I gave him a deck of 10 cards, numbered 1 to 10, and asked him to shuffle them.  Then, he would have to look at each card, and concentrate on the number, one at a time  I let him know ...

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