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Forecasting Techniques: Exponential Smoothing

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YEAR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
DEMAND 7 9 5 9 13 8 12 13 9 11 7

Develop a forecast for year 2 through 12 using exponential smoothing with α = .4 and a forecast for year 1 of 6. Plot your new forecast on a graph with the actual data and the native forecast. Based on a visual inspection, which forecast is better?

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Solution Summary

This solution depicts the steps to generate a forecast by the exponential smoothing method.

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  • BEng (Hons) , Birla Institute of Technology and Science, India
  • MSc (Hons) , Birla Institute of Technology and Science, India
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