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# Conducting a Seminar

The director of continuing education at Bluebird University just approved the planning for a sales training seminar. Her admin identified the various activities that must be done and their relationship to each other.

Activity Activity time Immediate predecessors
A Design Brochure
B Identify Teachers
C Create Outline
D Send Brochure A
E Send Teacher B
F Select Teacher C, E
G Accept Students D
H Select Text F
I Order and Receive Text G, H
J Prep Room G

The assistant also supplied the following time estimates for each activity.

Activity Optimistic Most Likely Pessimistic Expected Time Variance (Ï?^2)
(days) =a (days)=m (days)=b (te)

A 5 7 8 6.833333333 0.25
B 6 8 12 8.333333333 1.00
C 3 4 5 4 0.11
D 11 17 25 17.33333333 5.44
E 8 10 12 10 0.44
F 3 4 5 4 0.11
G 4 8 9 7.5 0.69
H 5 7 9 7 0.44
I 8 11 17 11.5 2.25
J 4 4 4 4 0.00

The director wants to conduct the seminar 47 working days from now. What is the probability that everything will be ready in time?

#### Solution Summary

The solution discusses conducting a seminar in 47 working days.

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