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Brain Drain: Product Launch Expected Value

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Brain Drain is about to launch a new product. Depending on the success of the new product, there are three possible outcomes for value next year: $210 million, $150 million or $60 million. These outcomes are all equally likely, and this risk is diversifiable. Suppose the risk-free interest rate is 5%. (Ignore all other market imperfections, such as taxes.). Brain Drain has $120 million in debt due next year.

a. What is Brain's total value with leverage?
b. Now suppose that in the event of default, 30% of the value of Brain's assets will be lost to bankruptcy costs. What is Brain's total value with leverage and distress costs?

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Solution Summary

Provides steps necessary to determine the total value with leverage and distress costs.

Solution Preview

1. First calculate the expected value of the possible outcomes and then calculate the PV.

Expected value of valuation next year with leverage= (210+150+60)/3 ...

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