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# Brain Drain: Product Launch Expected Value

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Brain Drain is about to launch a new product. Depending on the success of the new product, there are three possible outcomes for value next year: \$210 million, \$150 million or \$60 million. These outcomes are all equally likely, and this risk is diversifiable. Suppose the risk-free interest rate is 5%. (Ignore all other market imperfections, such as taxes.). Brain Drain has \$120 million in debt due next year.

a. What is Brain's total value with leverage?
b. Now suppose that in the event of default, 30% of the value of Brain's assets will be lost to bankruptcy costs. What is Brain's total value with leverage and distress costs?

#### Solution Preview

1. First calculate the expected value of the possible outcomes and then calculate the PV.

Expected value of valuation next year with leverage= (210+150+60)/3 ...

#### Solution Summary

Provides steps necessary to determine the total value with leverage and distress costs.

\$2.19