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    Brain Drain: Product Launch Expected Value

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    Brain Drain is about to launch a new product. Depending on the success of the new product, there are three possible outcomes for value next year: $210 million, $150 million or $60 million. These outcomes are all equally likely, and this risk is diversifiable. Suppose the risk-free interest rate is 5%. (Ignore all other market imperfections, such as taxes.). Brain Drain has $120 million in debt due next year.

    a. What is Brain's total value with leverage?
    b. Now suppose that in the event of default, 30% of the value of Brain's assets will be lost to bankruptcy costs. What is Brain's total value with leverage and distress costs?

    © BrainMass Inc. brainmass.com June 4, 2020, 3:27 am ad1c9bdddf
    https://brainmass.com/business/accounting/brain-drain-product-launch-expected-value-515943

    Solution Preview

    1. First calculate the expected value of the possible outcomes and then calculate the PV.

    Expected value of valuation next year with leverage= (210+150+60)/3 ...

    Solution Summary

    Provides steps necessary to determine the total value with leverage and distress costs.

    $2.19

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