# Bayers Theorem

Choose any medical scientific study who applied a Bayer Theorem and write down the article information (title, author, location, and date) of the article, write a paragraph about the summary or overview of the article (You can copy from the article), and write your opinion about the article.

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#### Solution Preview

The following paper applied a Bayer Theorem to estimate age dependent disease rates:

Title: Age-conditional probabilities of developing cancer

Author: Michael P. Fay, Ruth Pfeiffer, Kathleen A. Cronin,Chenxiong Le, Eric J. Feuer

Journal source: Statistics in Medicine 2003, 22(11):1837-1848

The abstract of this paper is:

We propose an estimator of the probability of developing a disease in a given age range, conditional on never having developed the disease prior to the beginning of the age range. Our estimator improves the one described by Wun, Merrill and Feuer ( Lifetime Data Analysis 1998; 4, 169-186) that is currently used by the U.S. National ...

#### Solution Summary

Bayers theorem is examined. A medical scientific study which applies Bayer Theorem is determined.