Choose any medical scientific study who applied a Bayer Theorem and write down the article information (title, author, location, and date) of the article, write a paragraph about the summary or overview of the article (You can copy from the article), and write your opinion about the article.© BrainMass Inc. brainmass.com October 25, 2018, 8:18 am ad1c9bdddf
The following paper applied a Bayer Theorem to estimate age dependent disease rates:
Title: Age-conditional probabilities of developing cancer
Author: Michael P. Fay, Ruth Pfeiffer, Kathleen A. Cronin,Chenxiong Le, Eric J. Feuer
Journal source: Statistics in Medicine 2003, 22(11):1837-1848
The abstract of this paper is:
We propose an estimator of the probability of developing a disease in a given age range, conditional on never having developed the disease prior to the beginning of the age range. Our estimator improves the one described by Wun, Merrill and Feuer ( Lifetime Data Analysis 1998; 4, 169-186) that is currently used by the U.S. National ...
Bayers theorem is examined. A medical scientific study which applies Bayer Theorem is determined.
Probability Statistics Problem
Suppose that 1% of all people have a particular disease. A test for the disease is 99% accurate. This means that a person who test positive for the disease has a 99% chance of actually having the disease, while a person who test negative for the disease has a 99% chance of not having the disease.
If a person tests positive for the disease, what is the chance (rounded to the nearest hundredth) that he or she actually has the disease?
I have worked the problem two ways and am receiving two different answers.View Full Posting Details