Outdoor Sports Company, with its main office in Iowa, is considering opening a branch office in Los Angeles. Under normal economic conditions, which have a 45% chance of occurring, Outdoor can expect to earn a net income in that branch office of $50,000. If there is a mini-recession, which has a 25% chance of occurring, Outdoor will earn $20,000 in that branch office. In a severe recession, which has a 20% chance of occurring, Outdoor will lose $10,000 in the branch office. There is also a slight chance (10%) that the branch office will be a failure and Outdoor will lose $300,000. Should Outdoor open the branch office?
Please see the details as below.
This problem is related to expected value. There are four scenarios for Outdoor. The scenarios, related payoffs and the probability of each scenario are given as ...
This problem is related to expected value