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Applications of Probability in Business Decisions

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In what situations might you use probability as a manager to approach business-related problems? What are the advantages to using probability concepts in business decisions? Are there any disadvantages or possible pitfalls to avoid in using probability in business?

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Solution Summary

Application of probability business decisions are examined.

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Business managers can use probability in a variety of ways to approach business-related problems.

For example, if economists forecast a 30% chance that an event will occur a business manager can use that in his planning for project payoffs. For example:

If Event occurs, loss will be $1,000
If Event does not occur, profit will be $2,500

Since economists forecast only a 30% chance of the Event occurring, the manager can use this ...

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